‘Point, Click & Learn’
Visual search and augmented reality experiences seemed poised to evolve as early adopter platforms for learning based on images, objects and places that exist in the physical world.

Google, Nokia, Ricoh, Intel, and Microsoft have all demonstrated or released beta and 1.0 version services that layer digital information over images and video captured by the camera holder or person looking at the screen.

The vision (pun intended) for visual and augmented reality platforms is to use cameras, screens and projection systems for uncovering and layering digital information about objects (including text)  and places.   So you can learn about a particular flower or building while standing in front of it, and not when you are at home sitting in front of your computer.  The hope is to move beyond photo/video capture and bring new functionality to the lens as a learning device.  No keyboard or mouse needed- just point, click and learn.

Camera + Web-based Software = Augmented Visual Learning
We can already see demonstrations of first generation personal learning experiences based on visual augmented reality (digital layers over real world images) and software services that tap the power of scalable  cloud computing architectures:

  • A student learning biology is able to point, click & learn about a tree leaf, an insect or a bird whether the object exists in real life or as an image inside a book  (e.g. Bobcat tracking app; IdentityTree)
  • A tourist uses their mobile camera to identify the name and history of a landmark building; or to help them learn about the local mass transit options (e.g. ‘Nearest Subway’ app; BART)
  • A museum visitor sees an art piece and wants to learn more about the artist (e.g. museum app)
  • An architecture student want to see a time-lapsed reply of a building’s construction, or an ‘x-ray’ layer image of the structural beams below the exterior skin
  • An aspiring wine connoisseur wants to learn more about a vineyard or ideal food pairing by snapping an image of the bottle while inside the retail store (e.g.  Tesco Wine app YouTube video; demo)
  • Someone reading a newspaper sees a compelling image – points, clicks and learns more about the topic (e.g. Ricoh iCandy app1; demo2)
  • A star gazer visiting the Southern hemisphere looks up at an unfamiliar sky – points, clicks and learns via an augmented layer explaining the night sky (e.g. Google Sky demo)

This is quite an impressive list for 2010!  And yet these are only examples based on first generation software, hardware and a tiny catalog of images.  The most exciting learning applications of visual search are ahead of us!

Visual Search 2011-2020
It is important not to confuse today’s beta and 1.0 version visual search and augmented reality apps with those likely to image in the next decade.   Both platforms are likely to evolve alongside other applications based on 2D-3D modeling, location based services, robotic vision, tagging, visual mashups, personal assistants (e.g. Siri) and personal learning systems.

But in order to have a ‘real-time‘ experience in which we capture an image and have it immediately identified (from a catalog) and layered with relevant digital background information – we must think beyond the phone or camera itself and see the potential of software as service models.

Visual search catalogs and services will ‘live in the cloud‘ and not on our devices.  In other words, we will not have to rely on the memory or processing power inside of our phones.  The phone will access image catalogs stored on the internet (or ‘in the cloud’).

This software-as-service architecture of cloud computing (e.g. networked & virtualized) offers users tremendous storage and processing power.  It is a low cost, scalable platform for  individuals and companies to store, access and collectively learn about physical objects captured by camera lenses.  This will allow us to access billions of images, tags and related content by tapping this massive cloud catalog of object shapes and textures.

My wish list for advanced visual search and learning by 2020?
Making the invisible, visible

I am most interested in real-time augmented reality experiences that allow users to test alternative assumptions and scenarios with real-world systems.  I’d like to see visual interfaces that reveal layers about the molecular structure of our natural and synthetic worlds.  And if all goes well, it might be micro-projectors which layer images directly onto objects and surfaces that really change the game by the end of the decade.

Imagine an engineering student standing on a highway overpass to study traffic flow patterns and then changing the parameters of vehicle speed and driver behavior to test alternative results.  Or imagine a 5th grade student zooming in on any material to see the nanostructured reality that defines the material’s properties.

Alas, that is my vision of the next decade!  For now, I am comforted and enthusiastic about the Beta and Version 1.0 experiences already on the marketplace!

I’ve included videos from Google and Nokia below:

Nokia’s Point & Find application that uses a video camera to recognize real world objects (e.g. solar panel, buildings, products, et al)

Google has released Google Goggles as its own platform for camera based search

Here we see Goggles being used to translate a menu text (in German) into a captured image into English

[click to continue…]

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book flickrProfessional Futurists who work with clients are familiar with the perception pitfalls associated with forecasts and scenarios that deal with the impact of technology.

This is why framing forecasts and scenarios around demographics (life stage), cultural (lifestyle) and market structure transitions are more digestible frameworks for getting clients to challenge their assumptions about transformational changes to their business models.

Why is technology a hard pill to swallow?  A combination of reasons: risks of early adoption, costs associated with implementation and support, lack of  pull demand from existing consumers, accepting small market share profits even with fast growth prospects (et al).   And let’s not forget that technology solutions are sold by deeply embedded vendors who have their own varying self-interests in transitioning old vs new platforms.

A less eloquently stated reason is that the theme of technology (especially ‘digital’ and ‘web’ technology) just scares most people.  Even if we all agree that technology on its own is never a solution, and that there is always a tendency of over-hype it in the short-term, many people struggle to overcome strong negative emotional/gut responses to new technology platforms.

For most audiences technology seems too gimmicky…  too young and hip… too transparent and invasive… or too time consuming.   These are legitimate barriers for getting audiences to see real world applications for customers.

Technology should always be placed in the context of culture, market and regulatory structures.  Without this broader context it will always be easier to roll our eyes than to probe, explore and seek to understand.

To get us to this place of understanding the broader social context of technology we need framers like Kevin Kelly to bring context to the story of technology – past, present and future.

Kevin Kelly:Technology & Foresight Foundations of Social Change & Systems Thinking
Kevin Kelly
has spent decades preparing a script to tell  the epic story of technology’s past, present and future.  As a Former Editor of the Whole Earth Review and past Editor of Wired he holds a very unique perspective that spans our recent historical era where technology has become a widely perceived mechanism (and ‘agent’) of change.

I prefer to see Kelly as an informed observer as much as he is arguably a techno-optimist.  And I believe his passion for understanding technology is rooted in the two pillars of foresight/futures studiessocial change and systems thinking.

Social Change frameworks (e.g. Progress, Power & Conflict, Evo-Devo, et al) help us understand change and develop the right models for forecasting possible outcomes.  Systems thinking forces us to understand structure and relationships that shape feedback loops (e.g. vicious vs. virtuous) often associated with non-linear change.  Kelly is quick to point out the non-linear aspects of change shaped by emerging technology platforms.

Here are a few of Kevin Kelly’s public lectures on technology.  Each is a variation of his central exploration in understanding the fundamental nature of technology and life in the universe:

TEDxAmsterdam, 2010

Kevin Kelly: Predicting the next 5,000 days of the web
2007 EG conference

More Kevin Kelly Videos

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Future of Auto Industry Telematics and Connected Cars Will Transform the Driver into Captain

February 26, 2010

Forecast & Outlook:  The value chain associated with the human driving experience is about to be transformed – and within a decade I suspect most people will no longer see themselves as frustrated drivers but empowered Captains and navigators of complex transportation networks.
The coming age of digitally ‘connected cars’  and robotic (autonomous) vehicles will not [...]

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Bloom Energy CEO Interview Focuses on Future of Fuel Cell Energy

February 25, 2010

Bloom Energy CEO KR Sridhar gives a wonderful 101 style interview with Fresh Dialogues in which he explains the fundamentals of fuel cell energy and why it is a very smart bet on the future of energy across electricity power generation and vehicle electrification.
Fuel cell based Power Generation: Bridge & End Destination:
Despite the failure of [...]

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Future of Game-based and Social Learning Will Reshape Role of Personal Data, Feedback Loops and Reflection Tools

February 24, 2010

The good news is that the perceived value of ‘games-based learning‘ and ‘social learning‘ is starting to gain mainstream traction as a way of reconciling and bridging the worlds of formal (institutional) and informal learning that stretches from learner experiences within schools and workplaces – to our activities at home and while we are within the physical [...]

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Bloom Box and the Very Disruptive Future of Distributed Energy [Video]

February 23, 2010

‘Holy Grail’ vs ‘Disruptive’
Bloom Energy is helping to shake up the conversation about the future of distributed energy systems.  But let’s be clear…!!!   There is no Holy Grail solution for global energy market!  There is no silver bullet!
The spectrum of energy demands is too wide and varied across applications to have one single solution.  Disruptive [...]

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Personal power systems via micro fuel cells might be the most disruptive idea for the future of energy!

February 21, 2010

Forecast and Outlook:  The vision of personal power systems based on fuel packets and micro fuel cells is arguably the most disruptive concept of future energy systems in the world today.  And yet it remains completely off the radar of most conversations about the future of energy.
The disruptive vision of energy access to anyone, anywhere in [...]

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Are we seeing a more Enlightened US Consumer, or is this just the Aging of Baby Boomers?

February 19, 2010

Every time I see a reference about the new American consumer I think of a post 9/11 The Onion article:  A Shattered Nation Longs to Care about Stupid Bulllshit Again.
Events like 9/11 and the recent economic collapse can certainly alter consumer sentiment- especially in the short term.  But life stage transitions matter more!  And the [...]

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World Economic Forum Scenarios Explore the Future of Mining and Metals in 2030

February 17, 2010

The World Economic Forum (sponsor of the annual Davos gathering) has released a short set of scenarios highlighting broad implications around plausible outcomes for the ’Future of Future of Mining and Metals in 2030‘. WEF’s scenarios demonstrate the value of foresight and futures thinking for public and private sector leaders interested in exploring uncertainties about global change (and [...]

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My trip to see the final night launch of the NASA Space Shuttle program [10+ Videos]

February 16, 2010

One Final Night Launch…
Last week I fulfilled a lifelong dream of seeing the Space Shuttle liftoff- in what will likely be the last night launch of the NASA Shuttle Program.  Now that the International Space Station is nearing completion NASA will retire the reusable Shuttle fleet in September, and move towards lower cost expendable rockets that might be [...]

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